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Toto 2.0: Time Series Forecasting Enters the Scaling Era

RESEARCH PAPER Published on May 19, 2026

Research by Emaad Khwaja, Chris Lettieri, Gerald Woo and 10 others

Source: arXiv 5 min read advanced

Summary

We show that time series foundation models scale: a single training recipe produces reliable forecast-quality improvements from 4M to 2.5B parameters. We release Toto 2.0, a family of five open-weights forecasting models trained under this recipe. The Toto 2.0 family sets a new state of the art on three forecasting benchmarks: BOOM, our observability benchmark; GIFT-Eval, the standard general-purpose benchmark; and the recent contamination-resistant TIME benchmark. This report describes our experimental results and details the design decisions behind Toto 2.0: its architecture and training recipe, training data, and the u-muP hyperparameter transfer pipeline. All five base checkpoints are released under Apache 2.0.

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